Boletim Focus: com guerra no Irã e disparada do petróleo, mercado prevê corte menor dos juro nesta semana pelo Banco Central

Brazil's financial market Focus Bulletin shows analysts now expect a smaller interest rate cut of 0.25 percentage points at the upcoming COPOM meeting, down from the previously expected 0.50 points, due to the outbreak of war in Iran driving oil prices above $100 per barrel. The spike in oil prices is expected to fuel inflation, with the 2026 IPCA forecast rising from 3.91% to 4.10%. GDP growth and exchange rate projections saw minor adjustments, with the Selic rate currently at a near 20-year h